
Thanks to Yuwan Wang and team for this analysis of multiple paleofire records across tropical peatlands! The analysis builds included data generated during the EU funded REAL project from study sites in Kenya and Tanzania (Githumbi et al., 2018a and 2018b; Courtney Mustaphi et al., 2021a and 2021b; Wang et al., 2026).
ABSTRACT
Tropical peatland wildfire incidence has risen in recent decades, driven by drainage for land use and intensified by severe droughts with global climate change. These disturbances have altered vegetation structure, disrupted ecosystem functioning, and increased carbon emissions, particularly in Southeast Asia. However, the long-term history and characteristics of wildfires in tropical peatlands remain largely unknown. Here, we compiled fifty-eight macro-charcoal records from peatlands across the tropics, ranging from lowland forested to montane peatlands, to assess millennia-scale changes and controlling factors of tropical peatland burning. We divided the datasets into four main sub-regions: Neotropical, Afrotropical, Indomalayan and Australasian ecoregions to explore regional variability. Tropical peatlands had high burning levels between 0 and 850 ce, followed by a relatively low and stable period until a marked increase during the 20th century. The general trend in tropical peatland burning follows changes in global temperature, and climate variables that control the length and severity of drought events have a notable influence on peat burning before 1900 ce. During the 20th century, regional differences were observed, with declining fire trends in the Neotropical and Afrotropical regions and increasing fire trends in the Indomalayan and Australasian regions. This difference is likely attributable to human activities, and such intervention is also evident in palm swamps and hardwood swamps under similar wet, weakly seasonal climates. With the increase in anthropogenic pressures on peatlands and greater climate variability, future wildfires in peatlands are likely to become more frequent and widespread across all tropical ecoregions. Conservation and sustainable land-use practices could be used to mitigate and control peatland burning and protect these carbon-rich sinks (Wang et al., 2026)

References
Courtney Mustaphi CJ, Kinyanjui R, Shoemaker A, Mumbi C, Muiruri V, Marchant L, Rucina S, Marchant R. 2021a. A 3000-year record of vegetation changes and fire at a high-elevation wetland on Kilimanjaro, Tanzania. Quaternary Research 99: 34–62. doi: 10.1017/qua.2020.76 [Open Access version]
Courtney Mustaphi CJ, Rucina SM, King L, Selby K, Marchant R. 2021b. A palaeovegetation and diatom record of tropical montane forest fire, vegetation and hydroseral changes on Mount Kenya from 27000–16500 cal yr BP. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 581: 110625. DOI:10.1016/j.palaeo.2021.110625
Githumbi, E. N., R. Kariuki, A. Shoemaker, et al. 2018a. Pollen, People and Place: Multidisciplinary Perspectives on Ecosystem Change at Amboseli, Kenya. Frontiers in Earth Science 5: 113. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2017.00113.
Githumbi EN*, Courtney Mustaphi CJ*, Yun KJ, Muiruri V, Rucina SM, Marchant R. 2018b. Late Holocene wetland transgression and 500 years of vegetation and fire variability in the semi-arid Amboseli landscape, southern Kenya. Ambio – A Journal of the Human Environment 47(6): 682–696.
Harrison, S. P., R. Villegas-Diaz, E. Cruz-Silva, et al. 2021. “The Reading Palaeofire Database: An Expanded Global Resource to Document Changes in Fire Regimes From Sedimentary Charcoal Records.” Earth System Science Data Discussions 14: 1–30. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-1109-2022.
Olson, D. M., and E. Dinerstein. 2002. “The Global 200: Priority Ecoregions for Global Conservation.” Annals of the Missouri Botanical Garden 89, no. 2: 199–224. https://doi.org/10.2307/3298564.
Wang Y, Feldpausch T, Swindles G, Moss P, McGowan H, Sim T, Morris P, Benfield A, Courtney-Mustaphi C, Wahl D, Montoya E, Githumbi E, Honorio Coronado E, Augustijns F, Verstraeten G, O’Donnell (Roe) J, Tibby J, Benavides J, Hapsari KA, Schittek K, Ramdzan KNM, Bao K, Cole LES, Anderson L, Gałka M, Emuobosa Akpo O, Strobel P, Ramya Bala P, Dommain R, Marchant R, Sukumar R, Chawchai S, Pullyottum Kavil S, Mooney S, Kelly TJ, Gao Y, Voulgarakis A, Boom A, Burton C, Berrio JC, Ribeiro K, Anderson L, Hardiman M, Spater M, Page S, Gallego-Sala A. 2026. Unprecedented burning in tropical peatlands during the 20th century compared to previous two millennia. Global Change Biology 32(3): e70717. [CC BY 4.0 Open Access] [FigShare Supplement] [Preprint version] https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70717
Xu, J., P. J. Morris, J. Liu, and J. Holden. 2018. “PEATMAP: Refining Estimates of Global Peatland Distribution Based on a Meta-Analysis.” Catena 160: 134–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2017.09.010.